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Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Apr 05, 2025 10:38 am
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 9:10 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 8:29 am We may see a small shower chance Monday afternoon, but it won't be a big deal. Thurs is our next chance for measurable rainfall after Sunday. Temp wise... Mainly cool in the 50s for highs with mid to upper 20s for lows Tues and Wed mornings. Keep your fingers crossed but right now next weekend is dry with highs in the 60s to low 70s. That call for next weekend will be correct, as long as the Thurs into Fri system keeps moving and doesn't get cut off.
My Dad and I are scheduled to get our first set of two games a week starting this Thurs vs two women in the Spring Bocce ball tournament. :lol:

Like we "need" anymore rainfall for quite a while after this weekend! :lol:
I have not mowed yet and my lawn is going to be a jungle! I probably won't mow until Wed giving it as much of a chance to dry out as it can before the next system comes in on Thurs.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Apr 05, 2025 7:39 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG got to 66, DAY 63 and CMH 65 today.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 10:30 am
by tron777
Good Sunday to you all....

As our current system winds down, our severe wx threats and flooding issues will be taking a break. The pattern will still continue to be active. I don't have much change for the next week or so. A weak system that brushes us Mon afternoon and evening with a shower chance. A better shot of rain Wed night thru Thurs night. This one has a good dig to it and it does look to move on out by Friday leaving us with our first nice weekend in a long time! Palm Sunday weekend is looking good! Temp wise... highs in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 20s and 30s region wide. We will warm into the 60s by Sat and into the 70s, I hope, by Palm Sunday.

After that, I do think severe wx chances return. How bad and in what form, we will fine tune later.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 10:33 am
by tron777
PAH, IND, LOU and JKL all have Freeze Watches issued for Mon night. I would think ILN will be doing the same once some of the flood headlines expire. Then, I would expect the same thing for Tues night.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 2:43 pm
by MVWxObserver
tron777 wrote: Sun Apr 06, 2025 10:30 am Good Sunday to you all....

As our current system winds down, our severe wx threats and flooding issues will be taking a break. The pattern will still continue to be active. I don't have much change for the next week or so. A weak system that brushes us Mon afternoon and evening with a shower chance. A better shot of rain Wed night thru Thurs night. This one has a good dig to it and it does look to move on out by Friday leaving us with our first nice weekend in a long time! Palm Sunday weekend is looking good! Temp wise... highs in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 20s and 30s region wide. We will warm into the 60s by Sat and into the 70s, I hope, by Palm Sunday.

After that, I do think severe wx chances return. How bad and in what form, we will fine tune later.
My Dad is going to put out an "all call" message to our Brethren Ret Community village 'hood sometime early this week since temp-wise and more precip chances re Mon / Thurs e.g. about our Spring Bocce ball tournament that we'll have to delay play until the week of April 14th.

I sure wish by mid-late April that the pattern would flip to drier as Ma Nature has been steroidal overdrive and many places of the country have already had a year's supply of liquid sunshine for the water table. Feast or famine as the saying goes!

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 3:00 pm
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: Sun Apr 06, 2025 2:43 pm
tron777 wrote: Sun Apr 06, 2025 10:30 am Good Sunday to you all....

As our current system winds down, our severe wx threats and flooding issues will be taking a break. The pattern will still continue to be active. I don't have much change for the next week or so. A weak system that brushes us Mon afternoon and evening with a shower chance. A better shot of rain Wed night thru Thurs night. This one has a good dig to it and it does look to move on out by Friday leaving us with our first nice weekend in a long time! Palm Sunday weekend is looking good! Temp wise... highs in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 20s and 30s region wide. We will warm into the 60s by Sat and into the 70s, I hope, by Palm Sunday.

After that, I do think severe wx chances return. How bad and in what form, we will fine tune later.
My Dad is going to put out an "all call" message to our Brethren Ret Community village 'hood sometime early this week since temp-wise and more precip chances re Mon / Thurs e.g. about our Spring Bocce ball tournament that we'll have to delay play until the week of April 14th.

I sure wish by mid-late April that the pattern would flip to drier as Ma Nature has been steroidal overdrive and many places of the country have already had a year's supply of liquid sunshine for the water table. Feast or famine as the saying goes!
My worry is we'll go from this to hot and dry. :(

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 4:26 pm
by tron777
For all AV Posters:

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures are forecast in the lower and
middle 20s.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Indiana, northeast
and northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and
west central Ohio.

* WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2025 11:45 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG / DAY both reached 47 and CMH 48 in the predawn today.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 7:08 am
by tron777
Good morning! No changes expected to the forecast this week minus temps for the weekend. Still expecting a small shower chance this evening. Wed night and Thurs, rain is likely. Perhaps a leftover shower early Fri. Still under a freeze headline for tonight and tomorrow night. The 20s continue to be expected for lows. 40s and 50s this week for highs. The weekend now is cooler. 30s in the morning and 50s on Sat with the 60s on Sun. Thankfully, the weekend is still looking to be on the dry side.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 8:34 am
by House of Cards
tron777 wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 10:38 am
MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 9:10 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 8:29 am We may see a small shower chance Monday afternoon, but it won't be a big deal. Thurs is our next chance for measurable rainfall after Sunday. Temp wise... Mainly cool in the 50s for highs with mid to upper 20s for lows Tues and Wed mornings. Keep your fingers crossed but right now next weekend is dry with highs in the 60s to low 70s. That call for next weekend will be correct, as long as the Thurs into Fri system keeps moving and doesn't get cut off.
My Dad and I are scheduled to get our first set of two games a week starting this Thurs vs two women in the Spring Bocce ball tournament. :lol:

Like we "need" anymore rainfall for quite a while after this weekend! :lol:
I have not mowed yet and my lawn is going to be a jungle! I probably won't mow until Wed giving it as much of a chance to dry out as it can before the next system comes in on Thurs.
I got my front and streetside mowed last week before the floods came, but couldn't get my backyard done. It's soaked in there, you need an airboat to get around my backyard, and the grass is HIGH there. Not looking forward to chipping away at that. :shock:

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 8:49 am
by Sawdoggie
House of Cards wrote: Mon Apr 07, 2025 8:34 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 10:38 am
MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 9:10 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 8:29 am We may see a small shower chance Monday afternoon, but it won't be a big deal. Thurs is our next chance for measurable rainfall after Sunday. Temp wise... Mainly cool in the 50s for highs with mid to upper 20s for lows Tues and Wed mornings. Keep your fingers crossed but right now next weekend is dry with highs in the 60s to low 70s. That call for next weekend will be correct, as long as the Thurs into Fri system keeps moving and doesn't get cut off.
My Dad and I are scheduled to get our first set of two games a week starting this Thurs vs two women in the Spring Bocce ball tournament. :lol:

Like we "need" anymore rainfall for quite a while after this weekend! :lol:
I have not mowed yet and my lawn is going to be a jungle! I probably won't mow until Wed giving it as much of a chance to dry out as it can before the next system comes in on Thurs.
I got my front and streetside mowed last week before the floods came, but couldn't get my backyard done. It's soaked in there, you need an airboat to get around my backyard, and the grass is HIGH there. Not looking forward to chipping away at that. :shock:
I feel you on that. I am out at my farm and the grass popped to almost a foot in some places last week and the ground is a swamp. I am hoping it can be cut this week but with the hills, it will need to dry out a little before tackling it or it will be a lot of sliding and tracks.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 9:46 am
by tron777

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 3:50 pm
by tron777
For the next system Wed night into early Fri, the 12Z GFS brings in 0,31" of rain to CVG. The Euro checks in with 0.26"

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Apr 07, 2025 11:58 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG got to 58, DAY 55 and CMH 56 today.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 7:07 am
by tron777
27 with a hard freeze this morning at CVG, 26 here. We'll do it one more time tonight. Then, we get wet Wed night into the day on Thurs. Most of Fri and thru the weekend is dry. Monday of next week is wonderful too with the 70s finally coming back.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 8:00 am
by cloudy72
Down to 27 in my hood. Finally mowed for the first time yesterday.....it was crazy high!

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 8:18 am
by tron777
cloudy72 wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 8:00 am Down to 27 in my hood. Finally mowed for the first time yesterday.....it was crazy high!
I need too. Going to wait until tomorrow after work to let it dry out as much as it can.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 8:39 am
by tron777
26 officially at CVG this morning.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:00 am
by House of Cards
Brrr! Make it stop! I've switched to Spring/Summer mode already,

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:16 am
by tron777
House of Cards wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:00 am Brrr! Make it stop! I've switched to Spring/Summer mode already,
Don't look at the longer term Euro weeklies then. :lol: Keeps us below avg into Mid May. :P

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 12:09 pm
by tron777
Per the 12Z NAM / GFS, I am raising rainfall amounts from 0.25" to 0.25" - 0,50"range. Models are coming in a tad wetter, closer to a half inch versus a quarter.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 2:23 pm
by winterstormjoe
tron777 wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:16 am
House of Cards wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:00 am Brrr! Make it stop! I've switched to Spring/Summer mode already,
Don't look at the longer term Euro weeklies then. :lol: Keeps us below avg into Mid May. :P
Oh no, I bet its showing above normal rainfall also? :cry:

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 2:40 pm
by tron777
winterstormjoe wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 2:23 pm
tron777 wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:16 am
House of Cards wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:00 am Brrr! Make it stop! I've switched to Spring/Summer mode already,
Don't look at the longer term Euro weeklies then. :lol: Keeps us below avg into Mid May. :P
Oh no, I bet its showing above normal rainfall also? :cry:
Nope. It was dry and cold. :lol: I don't buy it but that's what it showed anyway.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 3:10 pm
by tron777
...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the mid to upper 20s are
expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Indiana, northeast
and northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and
west central Ohio.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.

Re: April Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Apr 08, 2025 3:17 pm
by winterstormjoe
tron777 wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 2:40 pm
winterstormjoe wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 2:23 pm
tron777 wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:16 am
House of Cards wrote: Tue Apr 08, 2025 9:00 am Brrr! Make it stop! I've switched to Spring/Summer mode already,
Don't look at the longer term Euro weeklies then. :lol: Keeps us below avg into Mid May. :P
Oh no, I bet its showing above normal rainfall also? :cry:
Nope. It was dry and cold. :lol: I don't buy it but that's what it showed anyway.
Les, for some reason I don't buy it either (the precip. part) as we seem to have established these very wet periods when we warm up and then the cold fronts seem to stall or move through slowly. :roll: