tron777 wrote: ↑Thu May 01, 2025 7:15 am
Once we are done with the severe wx then as Tim alluded too, it is all about the cut off low. I am going with showers and storms in the forecast, some can be strong to severe for Friday, then just general showers for Sat thru at least Tues, if not Wed of next week before that thing finally clears the area IMO. Look for little sun and cool and damp weather for a while I'm afraid. Summer should come though for the second half of May but along with that will come active weather also.
Prayerfully a dry Memorial Day weekend this year as my sister and niece will be coming up from NC during that time period.
Early signals look stormy, but don't know if it'll be for the weekend or only for Mem. Day itself. TONS of time to go there.
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu May 01, 2025 12:32 am
I totally despise those cut off low scenarios e.g. That kind of set up wouldn't bode well for the weekend Reds hosting the Nats series e.g. either.
Yea, Eric. Not good for the Redbirds. My band is scheduled to play in the Fanzone on Sat. Not sure that's gonna happen now! lol
I hear ya bro!
Also I couldn't believe their dead bats yesterday, 6-0 in Game 1 and 9-1 in Game 2 lol.
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL DEARBORN...
NORTHERN BOONE AND NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 PM
EDT...
At 1155 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Aurora, moving
northeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
vegetation.
Locations impacted include...
Bridgetown, Dillsboro, Dent, Addyston, Idlewild, Cold Springs, North
Bend, Taylor Creek, Aurora, Petersburg, New Baltimore, Miami Heights,
Guilford, Cheviot, White Oak, Hidden Valley, Hooven, Elizabethtown,
Wilmington, and Cleves.
This includes the following Interstates...
I-74 in Ohio between mile markers 3 and 19.
I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 5 and 6.
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu May 01, 2025 12:32 am
I totally despise those cut off low scenarios e.g. That kind of set up wouldn't bode well for the weekend Reds hosting the Nats series e.g. either.
Yea, Eric. Not good for the Redbirds. My band is scheduled to play in the Fanzone on Sat. Not sure that's gonna happen now! lol
I hear ya bro!
Also I couldn't believe their dead bats yesterday, 6-0 in Game 1 and 9-1 in Game 2 lol.
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu May 01, 2025 12:32 am
I totally despise those cut off low scenarios e.g. That kind of set up wouldn't bode well for the weekend Reds hosting the Nats series e.g. either.
Yea, Eric. Not good for the Redbirds. My band is scheduled to play in the Fanzone on Sat. Not sure that's gonna happen now! lol
I hear ya bro!
Also I couldn't believe their dead bats yesterday, 6-0 in Game 1 and 9-1 in Game 2 lol.
They've been bipolar for a couple of seasons!
Glad to see 'em come back as they won 9-1 and split the series 2-2.
1528 UNK 4 E Versailles Ripley IN 3905 8518 Fallen tree on roadway. Time estimated from RADAR. (ILN)
1555 UNK 2 SW Bradford Darke OH 4011 8445 Tree down on Smith Road. Photo verified. Time estimated from RADAR. (ILN)
1820 UNK Flat Rock Seneca OH 4123 8286 A few reports of wind damage around Flat Rock including a snapped tree ... downed limbs ... a downed power line ... and a trampoline that was well-anchored being picked up. (CLE)
1820 UNK Castalia Erie OH 4140 8281 Tree and wires down. (CLE)
1832 58 3 N Sandusky LEZ144 OH 4149 8270 Mesonet station XSDB 2 NNE Sandusky. (CLE)
1856 UNK 3 NNW Marshall Highland OH 3919 8348 One tree down. Time estimated from radar. (ILN)
1914 100 University Heights Cuyahoga OH 4150 8154 (CLE)
1914 58 2 SSW Green Summit OH 4092 8145 ASOS station KCAK Akron-Canton Regional Airport. (CLE)
2018 UNK 1 E Blissfield Coshocton OH 4040 8195 Trees down on County Road 25. (PBZ)
2028 UNK 3 SW Jefferson Ashtabula OH 4171 8082 Ashtabula County EMA reported trees down in the areas of Roaming Shores ... Morgan Township ... and Jefferson. Time estimated via radar. (CLE)
2112 UNK Louisville Stark OH 4084 8126 Trees and wires downed in the Louisville area. (CLE)
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Thu May 01, 2025 6:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Good Evening and got hammered with rain at the Kenton County Golf Course so the first week was cancelled. My guess a good 1/2 fell in a short period of time. Still looking wet over the next 4 days and hopefully a drying out period starting on Tuesday.
May looks to start wet, but should trend warmer and drier IMO as time goes on. Thinking as we near mid month and beyond. Although I still think severe wx will be an issue until June, which is normal. No way we jump into the 90s right way. Not with the greenery and water logged ground lol
tron777 wrote: ↑Thu May 01, 2025 7:22 pm
May looks to start wet, but should trend warmer and drier IMO as time goes on. Thinking as we near mid month and beyond. Although I still think severe wx will be an issue until June, which is normal. No way we jump into the 90s right way. Not with the greenery and water logged ground lol
Great Post Les and I agree plus folks to the south and west are wet as well so we are going to need a few weeks of drier weather to even have a chance of hitting 90. Can that happen by the end of May and sure but so far I see no 90's at all which I am very happy to see.
Thank you Tim and good morning to you all! We are tracking severe wx today and we are fair game after 7pm or so this evening. We have a marginal risk in our NW, a slight risk for most, and an enhanced risk in our SE. Wind is the primary threat, followed by hail, and tornadoes. Then, we get to deal with the upper low this weekend with a very wet Saturday becoming more scattered on Sunday. I also believe we will be dealing with this system going into next week too. For how long, remains to be seen.
Nice post Les and yes those upper systems have a mind of their own but usually they end up losing all their moisture or drift far enough away to end the shower threat. I have it around until Monday and hopefully we are dry Tuesday but we could still have some clouds around. Maybe a few days of dry weather but more rain returns late next week into the weekend. Hopefully we don't hit that point in June where the rain stops completely and was either 2007 or 2008 when this happened and lost a burning bush that summer. Seen some mudslides this spring which does not happen often around here and hopefully with the vegetation on the increase that will stop as well
Just looking at things this morning and should see a good deal of sun until later this afternoon. Bad news the atmosphere should be primed for some strong to severe storms this evening with the biggest problems is some straight line winds though a few tornado's always possible and yes heavy rain
Saturday looks like an early April day instead of May with rain off an on most of the day and dry periods will probably be short-lived. Similar on Sunday though more dry times than Saturday and then on Monday probably more dry time than wet before we get rid of this upper low.
tron777 wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 7:06 am
Thank you Tim and good morning to you all! We are tracking severe wx today and we are fair game after 7pm or so this evening. We have a marginal risk in our NW, a slight risk for most, and an enhanced risk in our SE. Wind is the primary threat, followed by hail, and tornadoes. Then, we get to deal with the upper low this weekend with a very wet Saturday becoming more scattered on Sunday. I also believe we will be dealing with this system going into next week too. For how long, remains to be seen.
Currently Tues 5/6 - Sun 5/11 looks dry so hopefully that'll be the case for players in my neighborhood's Bocce ball league tournament. My Dad and I have a BYE week next week. So far my Dad and I have won 6 games in a row!
I don't want a drought of course, but at the same time I've gotten tired of the dews and damps trend.
tron777 wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 7:06 am
Thank you Tim and good morning to you all! We are tracking severe wx today and we are fair game after 7pm or so this evening. We have a marginal risk in our NW, a slight risk for most, and an enhanced risk in our SE. Wind is the primary threat, followed by hail, and tornadoes. Then, we get to deal with the upper low this weekend with a very wet Saturday becoming more scattered on Sunday. I also believe we will be dealing with this system going into next week too. For how long, remains to be seen.
Currently Tues 5/6 - Sun 5/11 looks dry so hopefully that'll be the case for players in my neighborhood's Bocce ball league tournament. My Dad and I have a BYE week next week. So far my Dad and I have won 6 games in a row!
I don't want a drought of course, but at the same time I've gotten tired of the dews and damps trend.
I agree Bro.... Can't blame you for feeling this way. It's always a tough balance being too wet or too dry around here. It's usually one or the other
That kind of set up wouldn't bode well for the weekend Reds hosting the Nats series e.g. either.
