fyrfyter wrote: ↑Wed Dec 21, 2022 1:20 pm A7C76886-4D1C-4EAD-A510-F3FEA0254925.jpeg

Killer run!

If that pans out it will be hilarious compared to where we were and everyone else was just 24 to 48 hours ago.

Looks like the cold air is coming in quicker than predicted?

Does seem like the Euro and the GFS have tracked east this morning or am I wrong?

Too bad most of this seems to be happening as we are sleeping. Would like to see the snow being whipped around by the wind.

Also worried about those winds and the trees next to my house. Hopefully without leaves it wont be an issue.

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:23 pm YIKES @ these wind gusts from the 12z Euro. All I want for Christmas is my power to stay on.


EuroWindy.gif

I hope that is wrong, Would be the worst time to lose power

If I was in Michigan right now I would be pretty happy with the model runs today. But the NAM at this point seems to be our best bet. How accurate is the NAM?

Feel like the Euro has been really consistent this whole time and the GFS has been all over the place literally.

I am liking the NAM for the win right now!

Good run for Indy and Michigan on the GFS, us not so much.

All I can say as these trends have been going in the right direction, which makes me happy!

Well that was an interesting NAM run.

Bamwx talked about this as a possibility yesterday.

Any chance that low hangs up in Michigan for a while and spins? Isn't that what happened in 78'?

Hard to argue with the consistency of the Euro.

Come on east trend!! haha

airwolf76 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:20 pm the trend is your friend. not looking good for the OV blizzard. who knows maybe models will correct back east in the next couple days.

This trend is going to be back in the pacific if it goes any further west haha.

mikeyp wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 6:04 pm I’ll wait and see what the models do tonight and tomorrow. This is a complex system.

I like your optimism

Gfs fall to the EU track pretty much complete. We'll see more changes in the track but not expecting any major changes. Probably oscillating the track between just south of Indy to just south of Chicago a few more runs Yeah depressing considering what it looked like yesterday... But typical for us.

These runs are getting worse and worse for us ha

I did say last night I feel nervous about being in the bullseye this far out, maybe it is a sign haha.

Yeah models not good today.... Hope they recorrect east!

Man the Euro wont give up its path and the GFS seems to be cementing its own. Lets hope the GFS wins this time. Just realized the 6z gfs trended to the Euro. :banghead: Does the warm tongue strike as usual? There doesn't seem to be much of a warm anything with this. The ground temperatures are goin...

mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 9:06 am Man the Euro wont give up its path and the GFS seems to be cementing its own. Lets hope the GFS wins this time.

Just realized the 6z gfs trended to the Euro.

Does the warm tongue strike as usual?

Man the Euro wont give up its path and the GFS seems to be cementing its own. Lets hope the GFS wins this time.

I know I am worried being in this good of shape this far out. Feel like it never favors us in the end, but does seem there is model agreement just how much snow?

Dudes this just keeps getting better and better on the GFS.