Need to watch this on the overnight and morning model runs for tomorrow night. With the low so close by, it won’t take much for a cell or two to get out of hand (tornado producers).

18z NAM updraft helicity is a bit concerning.

Icicles on railings and patio lights as I was leaving work. Disgusting weather day

jjfight wrote: ↑Tue Mar 09, 2021 11:26 am I haven't been on in a while - just like to say I'm loving the new look! Congrats!

Gracias! Still a work in progress but glad to hear you like it!

House of Cards wrote: ↑Wed Mar 03, 2021 7:08 pm finally finished watching all 4 parts, that was a very well done documentary ILN put together.

Agreed! ILN posted it a year after the outbreak. I watched it when it came out and try to watch it every year around this time. It’s good stuff

I also like that Davis customer support is an actual person you can talk to. When I have had issues, they were nice and willing to discuss what to look for and what to do about it. That says something about their business and customer support. Awesome! Good to know... beats having to talk to an ove...

good stuff here; What an historic weather day that one was. For sure! One of the positives about the day was that these were “plains style” supercells which allowed for better warning time versus the spin ups we usually see around here. Lives were lost, but no doubt many were saved with the extende...

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 03, 2021 2:24 pm 59 as of 2pm... 60s are a lock now. Should be a nice evening to fire up the grill for some cheeseburger sliders!

Sounds great, man! What do you usually do for sides with your burgers?

Here are some videos ILN made about the day from their perspective.

good stuff here; What an historic weather day that one was. For sure! One of the positives about the day was that these were “plains style” supercells which allowed for better warning time versus the spin ups we usually see around here. Lives were lost, but no doubt many were saved with the extende...

Beautiful afternoon out there!

The following severe season (2013) was wild in Oklahoma. Moore and then El Reno. My Meso Met Prof was actually involved in the El Reno data sampling. She was in the radar vehicle (DOW) that observed the insane winds from the El Reno tornado. After that, summer 2013 involved me back in town and meeti...

March 2, 2012 was without a doubt one of the most stressful times for me as a forecaster. I was at Ohio University studying meteorology and journalism at the time. The days leading up to the tornado outbreak featured a general consensus among the forecast models that there was big trouble on the way...

Trevor wrote: ↑Sat Feb 27, 2021 10:39 pm00z HRRR

The 00z HRRR I posted last night. Amounts were off up this way, but this model did suggest some very heavy amounts to our south.

Edit: here is the run from last night. Roughly in line with the large stretch of warnings.

sbpstudios wrote: ↑Sun Feb 28, 2021 6:24 pm Nice to see everyone back on the new forum. I hope the river doesn't get any higher than the 51.9 feet predicted at Meldahl Dam. We have a camp on the river near Augusta.

Good to see you, Roy!

Hey Les and maybe a sound of thunder is possible especially folks to the south. Agreed. I touched on that last night as well. Models do show some low levels of CAPE across the area later this evening. Definitely think there will be some areas that get in on some boomer action, especially Cincy on s...

Severe threat cranking up to our S/SW.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 28, 2021 5:32 pm CVG broke a daily rainfall record for today. Old record was 1.57" from 2017. New record is now 1.76" from today,

Yeah that shift north on the models sure panned out.

Wonder if Ang escaped any water issues? Maybe she’ll chime in later.

11:45pm Radar Update...

Heavier rains are moving toward the area. Wet night ahead.

00z GFS

Ang: being in Butler Co you have a better chance to avoid the higher rainfall totals.

Who’s ready to :waterski: tonight and tomorrow with all of this heavy rain?!? :rafting: Got mine! We flood every time it rains hard, so I am not looking forward to heavy rain at all. I am hopeful for some thunder though. It's been a while. Periods of heavy rain are likely tonight and tomorrow, espe...

Re: 00z HRRR...those modeled amounts (blue) in central KY are kinda insane. More than likely convective feedback issues on the model.

00z HRRR