18Z NAM gives us 0.51" of QPF - WOW! Ok, I'll be getting off work at 4:45 and then picking up a 6 pack of something good to drink and sit back and watch a couple good movies with the snow falling in the background and seeing the radar at times! Oh, and ordering a pizza! :) This may very well b...

Ok, is there that possibility that this could be upgraded to a WSW with some places getting 4+? I kind of doubt it since those kind of amounts should be isolated. But if the heavier banding turns out to be more widespread, then I suppose there is always a chance, but I wouldn't bet on it. On the ot...

Ok, is there that possibility that this could be upgraded to a WSW with some places getting 4+?

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:47 am SPC Meso page shows the surface low along the Red River now (TX / OK border). Seeing some nice EPV showing up across MO and some very impressive frontogenic forcing over Central ILL.

This is my favorite part of a snow event...The "Nowcast".

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 7:19 am Info to go along with map...

Trev, music to my ears if there is thundersnow! Than can be a quick thump of snow!

I have no clue on the accuracy of the hi Res FV3 as it's an experimental model, but the 12Z run has jumped well north to match the RGEM. A nice 2-4" thumping is being shown for the Tristate area. Ok Les, let's just leave it at that with the hi Res FV3, CMC and the RGEM. We should just not look...

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 13, 2024 2:25 pm

winterstormjoe wrote: ↑Tue Feb 13, 2024 2:24 pm Oh my, you're all cracking me up!

We are pulling out all the stops now, Joe!

Les, I was wondering about this cold surge along with a wave a week ago when it showed the cold going all the way to Mexico? It's flattened out some since then!

Oh my, you're all cracking me up!

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 5:19 pm GFS seems to be liking the 17-18th period for another potential phaser.

Yeah Les, it's been hinting that for a few days now, but it looks like that same ole movie we keep seeing over and over again.

Seen a couple GFS runs now where it could get really interesting around the 18th with an Arctic surge and the STJ bringing up a storm from the western GOM?

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 02, 2024 3:20 pm I will pin the topic Joe.

Thanks Les,

I'm very excited about this and hope the weather will cooperate!

I've set this topic thread up to discuss this solar eclipse event from the weather conditions to the watch parties that will be going on to just anything on this topic.

It's still going to be 99.69% total in Cincinnati. The best one we've seen here in quite some time... True, and it doesn't sound like much of a difference, but there really is! Nothing like being in 100% totality from what I have heard. I saw the last one from the TN welcome center on I-65 which wa...

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 02, 2024 9:13 am After the next ten days of precipitation Caleefornya is going to be in great shape for the rest of summer, 2 years in a row . Been a while since that has happened




IMG_1351.jpegIMG_1349.jpeg

Then look at the OV, another dry summer on the way, Ugh!

This is early, but I have to laugh- even the eclipse just barely goes to our north. This looks like most of the snow maps we've seen. ;) Screenshot 2024-02-01 094224.png It's still going to be 99.69% total in Cincinnati. The best one we've seen here in quite some time... True, and it doesn't sound ...

MJSun wrote: ↑Thu Feb 01, 2024 9:44 am This is early, but I have to laugh- even the eclipse just barely goes to our north. This looks like most of the snow maps we've seen.

Screenshot 2024-02-01 094224.png

It's still going to be 99.69% total in Cincinnati.
The best one we've seen here in quite some time...

CPC update on MJO pretty much saying the same thing talked about here for a while IMG_1338.jpeg Yeah that’s one of the big reasons I’m skeptical of any big time, sustained cold the second half of Feb. Climo also fights against it. I do think the second half of the month will be cooler than the firs...

The GFS is certainly the most bullish on rain to snow this weekend. Not saying it's right because the other models haven't jumped on board. The atmosphere is teetering between plain ole rain and a couple inches of wet snow. Tim touched on this threat. It may not materialize, but the atmosphere is o...

I know that this has nothing to do with weather, but I just didn't know where else to post this. I know some of you have been wondering where I've been lately and we took my Dad to the ER Sunday morning. I don't wish to disclose the details as to what happened at this time (as I'm still in shock) b...

Great read from Dr. Butler about the PV http://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/polar-vortex/polar-vortex-acting Hopefully this will be good news for February. Hopefully, what we saw in the last half of December with the signals coming for a cold active STJ for the first half of January, we'll s...

I'll be nowcasting for sure, with the radar and the short term models come this evening to see if an overachiever is actually in the works. Looks to be a tired day at work tomorrow! ;) lol At least it's Friday tomorrow! :) If the trends today are correct.... it maybe a tough drive into the office f...

I'll be nowcasting for sure, with the radar and the short term models come this evening to see if an overachiever is actually in the works. Looks to be a tired day at work tomorrow! lol
At least it's Friday tomorrow!

I guess having a surprise overachiever is out of the question!

Viirga alert. lol

Seems like our chances of a couple to a few inches are much better for this time around compared to the the swing and the miss we just had.