Finally looked at models this afternoon and not doing a great job as each run will have a different placement of rain over the next 5 days. No doubt they paint a busy period but with new info coming in the placement of the rains tend to be different each run. This tells me the atmosphere is loaded i...

Les I believe the remainder of the day will be mostly dry but watching some showers and thundershowers developing over Tn. The movement if north by northeast so it looks like later today much of the rains will be south and east. Not sure how quick the atmosphere recovers and its early May not June o...

tron777 wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 11:25 am Rain has finally eased up now as the area of rain continues to weaken and move off to the north.

Updated Totals:

CVG - 0.65"
Me - 0.58"
Boone Co Mesonet - 0.43"

Nice totals Les and I got hammered here and that is how the next week or so will pan out.

Sorry the rain started up again but light and the atmosphere is just ringing out the remaining moisture. So total will go up slightly in the next hour or so. Much cooler since the rain and much of the humidity has been used.

Rain has stopped and ended up with 1.77 inches.

Next week is a rather busy week with several chances of rain and maybe some severe weather. By late in the week and next weekend a really decent shot of cool air heading this way. Easily see temps in the 60's during the day and 40's at night and really if the timing is correct would not be surprised...

Hey Les and this is why trying to get the a decent forecast with the correct amounts. These tropical rains are hit and miss and while some folks may have got very little in the past 24 hours like me and then boom getting over an inch in a couple of hours the forecast goes from a bust of to high to a...

tron777 wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2024 9:03 am Thundering pretty good here now as that cell is approaching my hood. The rain is light atm, but heavy rain is about ready to start up here.

Good Morning Les and have had heavy rain for a good 15 minutes already so this is going to be a nice dose of rain for some folks.

Good Morning and some moderate to heavy rain with thunder this morning. The air mass is very tropical and when you get under one of these areas of showers and thundershowers rainfall totals go up quickly. Yesterday was much more isolated than I expected and I believe I had 5 raindrops. Making up for...

Good Morning Les and nothing here yet as we see the first round moving through this morning. Some moderate showers involved with this but not everyone getting those. Good way to moisten up the atmosphere though for later rounds. Still going .5-0.75 by midday Saturday and yes some higher totals with ...

I just got through Brian's video and he did mention that tropical nature of these showers and thundershowers and that is why I raised the totals. Glad he mentioned that in his video and yes he is forecasting for Louisville and no doubt heavier rains are more likely further south where the moisture i...

Looks like hi-res models are going with spotty sprinkles or light rain in the afternoon Friday and then spotty moderate showers overnight into Saturday morning. Not to impressive for most of the region Hey Bgoney, I believe they are underestimating the possible rainfall. This is more of a late spri...

I agree Bgoney and the Euro wants to hang on longer for the rain to end on Saturday. Sort of disjointed with the rain but I will go 0.25-.5 for most but like any system if you get a quick thundershower the totals can be somewhat higher. If the Euro is correct the higher totals may be the way to go

Great Post Les and the front will be nearby for an extended period so chances of showers and thundershowers will be around and will hopefully be able to narrow some of the rounds the closer we get to Friday. I agree no severe weather but you may here thunder at time but the severe weather should sta...

Good Morning and Les has the forecast covered!!! I really have no thoughts on the summer and like Les mentioned the chatter of a very hot summer is floating around but just way too early for me to go that way. Over the years we can look at La Nina's,El Nino's and the changeover between the two and t...

Good evening and great post Les. The further we get into spring much harder for flooding. Sure you can get plenty of rainfall but with vegetation getting greater and more sunshine and heating that can help as well in keeping flooding down. Not saying you can't get flooding but becomes a tad tougher....

Good Morning Les!! That would be perfect and at least for the next 7-10 days the pattern is busy for us and folks in the plains which is great news for them as well. So far this spring its the mountain west states that are dry and some of the longer term models showing this area to remain dry into e...

Good Morning and Les like you mentioned a nice drink of water overnight. Rather widespread as well and perfect to happen at night. Give me 2 of these systems a week for the next 8 weeks and that would be perfect.

76 / 60 as of 1pm at CVG so nice to see the dew point come up a little. The lower levels are trying to moisten up a bit now which is good. Most of the rain is still located over the Wabash River Valley well to our West and SW. A few isolated light showers (probably sprinkles) are currently located ...

Okay got to look at info and Brian's video. Busy week for him in Louisville of course but another wonderful video. Late tonight and early Tuesday is the first problem and once again I always look at that 4-9A period when you can get a nice dose of rainfall. Where will that area will be focused is st...

Good Morning and back from the tundra. Wild up there and on Saturday temp got to 64 but a strong southeast coming from Lake Michigan and the feel like temp was in the mid 40's. Got some work done but the winds were a problem the whole time and even on the drive back until we got to Indy or so. Have ...

Hope everyone enjoys the warm weather as I am heading to the tundra lol. Will be back probably late Sunday. Hopefully next week becomes a little more active and would love to see a few rounds of rain at night.

Frost and Les has mentioned all week about Thursday morning. The winds dying down and clear sky I believe some light frost is possible and of course further north and east has the best shot. Not a killing frost but maybe a tad bit of frost on the grass away from the house

Wonderful post by Brian. So much of what he talked about is a pattern we see in May into early June with heavy precip in the plains and we get the leftovers. This pattern usually causes flooding in the plains and like we talked about hard for the farmers to get the crop in and then if you get to muc...

I agree Les and we saw the ridge start to pokes its head up last week in Florida and southern Texas. At the moment the southeast is winning that race and this happens every spring to see which area gets that early start on summer. Again way to early to say this is the pattern for the summer and lets...