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by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 1:12 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

I do not hear any thunder nor do I see any lightning. Wind is light right now but it will get cranking shortly as the line moves in. Sky is getting dark so you know it's closing in.
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 1:07 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

T-storm warning now out for most of the tri-state. It is in effect until 2:15pm for penny sized hail and winds to 70 mph! Nice bow echo in NKY per radar! The line is racing NE at 50 mph. T-storm watch also in effect until 8pm. The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a * Severe Thunders...
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 10:57 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

CAPE has now increased to 2000 - 2500 J/KG range for the Cincy Metro, NKY and SE counties.
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 9:57 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

3KM NAM's arrival time is similar to the HRRR's but the storms pack a punch! The sounding shows conditions favorable for all severe wx hazards including tornadoes as winds veer with heights and they try and back more to the SE at the surface. Large hail and wind is also of concern per this model. Pr...
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 9:47 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

I like your update there Trev. I think it'll also work out as you described. You can really feel the stickiness in the air! It'll be interesting to see how much rain we see thru Monday morning. 1-2" is a good call. Some folks less some more per the usual. Good Morning Les. Trying to figure out...
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 9:18 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

I like your update there Trev. I think it'll also work out as you described. You can really feel the stickiness in the air! It'll be interesting to see how much rain we see thru Monday morning. 1-2" is a good call. Some folks less some more per the usual.
by tron777
Sun May 26, 2024 6:50 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Good morning all! SPC has expanded the enhanced risk area further to the NE covering more of AV Country. Damaging winds will be the greatest risk for us. Hail and tornadoes are still a threat but the greatest threat for those two will be to our south and SW. Radar has round 1 already moving into St....
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 6:54 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

I hit 81 today. We'll see what happens tomorrow. Get a good night's sleep tonight just in case. ;)
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 4:35 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Browneyedgirl wrote: Sat May 25, 2024 3:52 pm
tron777 wrote: Sat May 25, 2024 3:49 pm Got the brush pile burnt. Now it's time for cold beer! Got the grill going now. Baked potato, portobella mushroom and a t-bone steak! That'll be a nice meal! :)
Sounds great! Enjoy!!
Thanks Lisa! I sure will. )
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 4:34 pm
Forum: Sports
Topic: MLB 2024 Season Discussion
Replies: 125
Views: 17680

Re: MLB 2024 Season Discussion

Tigers win 2-1. We are hoping to win the series tomorrow morning at 11:35 am
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 3:49 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Got the brush pile burnt. Now it's time for cold beer! Got the grill going now. Baked potato, portobella mushroom and a t-bone steak! That'll be a nice meal! :)
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 1:03 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Got the grass knocked down just in case we get a lot of rain so it's not a jungle by next weekend. :lol: Going to try and burn my big brush pile too. It's a collection of trimming the trees and such last Fall. It's been either too hot, too windy, or too wet so I have not been able to get it done. Ho...
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 10:40 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Nice model battle shaping up between the 12Z HRRR (keeping the warm frontal activity together, longer) versus the 12Z NAM which weakens it. The end result will be how strong the line will be for Sunday evening / overnight depending on which scenario plays out earlier in the day.
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 10:10 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Special video from BG, he is LIVE right now:


by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 9:48 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

An update from the boys for the rest of your Saturday: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A weak cold front will push slowly east across our area today. While the better upper level forcing will remain to our north, as we destabilize through the afternoon, isolated to scattered showers and thun...
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 8:44 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

I checked the soundings from the 6Z NAM and it looked pretty concerning for wind and hail esp. Even a tornado threat too with winds trying to back around to the south at the surface. The 6Z HRRR keeps the activity with the warm front stronger so we don't destabilize quite as much for the overnight s...
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 7:10 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Good morning folks! Got a couple of hundredths here last night. CVG picked up 0.03" A slight chance for a t-storm today, with the best chance SE of Cincinnati. Tonight won't be so bad for those having cookouts or bonfires. It should be a nice evening! All eyes continue to be on Sunday. The enha...
by tron777
Sat May 25, 2024 7:04 am
Forum: Sports
Topic: MLB 2024 Season Discussion
Replies: 125
Views: 17680

Re: MLB 2024 Season Discussion

We finally won one 6-2. 1:10pm today with my boy Reese Olson.
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 7:26 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Looks like I may get a ground wetter this evening.
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 4:35 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Good afternoon all... I made it home in one piece! YAY! :lol: As expected, the traffic is tough out there. Weatherwise... not much change. Isolated storms possible until we get to Sunday. If some of the guidance is right, storm coverage is scattered and the bulk of it comes Sun night into Memorial D...
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 1:58 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

Hadn’t looked at the hi-res NAM until now . Needless to say it echos NAM severe parameters, but shows supercells developing late afternoon (5ish) in cvgland before an evolving squall line races in late evenin Sunday That sure is a wicked looking squall line too when the model ends at 8pm Sunday loc...
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 12:30 pm
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

12Z GFS wants to bring things in earlier with the warm front and with the late afternoon and evening convection. I think using models like the NAM and eventually the HRRR is the way to go versus a global model like the GFS. But anyway, we'll see how things trend as we get closer.
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 10:47 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

12Z NAM is still suggesting that the main show is in that 11pm to 1am range for us overnight Sun night.
by tron777
Fri May 24, 2024 10:07 am
Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Replies: 599
Views: 11468

Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion

BG's video - Already in progress...