12Z GFS still is more north with the low and we do get quite a bit of heavy rain tonight. Not all guidance agrees as we've mentioned. Can't blame ILN for hoisting the flood watch as any rain won't be good. Of course Bo could use the rain so let's all combine our resources and push this crap further ...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct . Good, this means that I can take a long nap afterwork and not worry about tornado sirens going off and no alerts coming from my...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct.

Some good news.... SPC has pushed the greatest severe risk even further south for this evening. For AV Land, the enhanced risk is now well south of our forecast area and the southern half of our area is under the slight risk with a marginal risk for the northern half. This means that the warm front ...

Awesome Ang!

I don't know if we have any posters in the Reily Township area of Butler Co, but I believe a possible tornado went thru there and ILN will be doing a storm damage survey in that area today.

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 7:39 am 1.38 with yesterday and last night storms

Excellent Matt! Glad to see that you finally cashed in as well.

In case anyone missed it: ...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. * WHERE...The following counties in southeast Indiana, Dearborn, Ohio and Ripley. The following counties in northern Kentucky, Boone, Campbell and Kenton...

Good luck with your appointment, Tim! Hope all goes well. :) We should have a relatively quiet day with good heating taking place. I expect low to mid 80s for highs. Then depending on where the warm front is as the low approaches (wherever it ends up tracking), we should see storms fire up by late t...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1220 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...STORM SURVEYS PLANNED FOR WEDNESDAY... Due to recent severe weather across our area, the National Weather Service will be conducting storm damage surveys later today, Wednesday, May 8th. The surveys ma...

Checking in with exactly 3” in the last 24hrs. By far the highest 24hr period of qpf for mby in many years. Awesome! Glad your area was able to cash in for a change. :) It's been a long time coming for sure. To add a little side note, last year from May onwards to November , I didn’t have one 24 hr...

The GFS and Euro are a good compromise as they both track the low right over us for this evening.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 5:52 am Checking in with exactly 3” in the last 24hrs. By far the highest 24hr period of qpf for mby in many years.

Awesome! Glad your area was able to cash in for a change. It's been a long time coming for sure.

There is very little agreement from models for the track and speed of the low for this evening, which will determine exactly how far north heavy rains return to our area. No doubt another now cast kind of day I see what you mean. The NAM has the low tracking across SKY and the Cincy Metro just gets...

Good morning all and WOW! What a noisy night! The action took a little longer to get here then what the data showed but man... those storms woke me up about 1am this morning and the rain just ended here a short time ago. Flood warnings are in effect for many areas due to the training storms as Bgone...

Tigers finally snapped a 4 game losing streak winning 11-7. Rubber match with the Indians is 1:10pm this afternoon with my boy Reese Olson!

Currently, there are 3 t-storm warnings for the IND forecast area and a couple of TOR warnings for IWX's forecast area (Northern IN). Our NW counties such as Connersville will be the locations that are going to be first at risk after 7pm. For the Metro Cincy area, I would say in that 8-11pm window t...

Mostly sunny skies and currently 77 / 70 here. The atmosphere continues to grow more and more unstable. The 3000 J/KG contour on the SPC mesopage for CAPE is almost up to my hood now. Bulk shear is between 60-70 knots now depending on your location. DCAPE is at 1000 N of Cincy, 1100 for the Metro an...

Unless something pops up ahead of time... based on the current radar picture, we maybe okay for another hour or so. After that... I'd really start paying attention. I'm going to take a dinner break right now. Please keep the posts going by all means and post something when and if you see it. I assum...

No change from the 15Z SREF as far as significant tornado ingredients go. 60-75% still showing up!

A couple of t-storm warnings are out in IN where those supercells are firing for hail, wind and radar indicated rotation. Nothing has been spotted yet tornado wise from law enforcement or storm chasers but the event is just getting underway.

Checking the SPC mesopage and our CAPE is up to 2500 J/KG. DCAPE is at 1000 with 1100 just to the SW. Lapse rates still aren't that great for us as they are more steep off to the West. We'll have to see if that is sort of a "saving grace" if you will. But I doubt it since everything else s...

Just getting caught up here folks. After I got home, I had to pick up the yard where a bunch of dead timber had fallen from the trees from the first wave of convection. Had to put out a couple more mole worms too. Hate those things! :lol: Anyway... no changes from the SPC's 3pm outlook. 76 with a de...

Very interesting with many moving parts and why things happen so quickly. We have a warm front south of us and cold front north of us moving south. Then once the cold front passes early Wednesday morning we have another warm front pushing in and a low with a cold front heading this way. Models are ...

Very interesting with many moving parts and why things happen so quickly. We have a warm front south of us and cold front north of us moving south. Then once the cold front passes early Wednesday morning we have another warm front pushing in and a low with a cold front heading this way. Models are ...

As of 2:06pm from the boys: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Still looking to see how the airmass will be modified behind this initial line of showers and thunderstorms. In the northern half of CWA, scattered showers have sprung up ahead of the line and seem to be removing any deeper convecti...