Nice model battle shaping up between the 12Z HRRR (keeping the warm frontal activity together, longer) versus the 12Z NAM which weakens it. The end result will be how strong the line will be for Sunday evening / overnight depending on which scenario plays out earlier in the day.

Special video from BG, he is LIVE right now:

An update from the boys for the rest of your Saturday: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A weak cold front will push slowly east across our area today. While the better upper level forcing will remain to our north, as we destabilize through the afternoon, isolated to scattered showers and thun...

I checked the soundings from the 6Z NAM and it looked pretty concerning for wind and hail esp. Even a tornado threat too with winds trying to back around to the south at the surface. The 6Z HRRR keeps the activity with the warm front stronger so we don't destabilize quite as much for the overnight s...

Good morning folks! Got a couple of hundredths here last night. CVG picked up 0.03" A slight chance for a t-storm today, with the best chance SE of Cincinnati. Tonight won't be so bad for those having cookouts or bonfires. It should be a nice evening! All eyes continue to be on Sunday. The enha...

We finally won one 6-2. 1:10pm today with my boy Reese Olson.

Looks like I may get a ground wetter this evening.

Good afternoon all... I made it home in one piece! YAY! :lol: As expected, the traffic is tough out there. Weatherwise... not much change. Isolated storms possible until we get to Sunday. If some of the guidance is right, storm coverage is scattered and the bulk of it comes Sun night into Memorial D...

Hadn’t looked at the hi-res NAM until now . Needless to say it echos NAM severe parameters, but shows supercells developing late afternoon (5ish) in cvgland before an evolving squall line races in late evenin Sunday That sure is a wicked looking squall line too when the model ends at 8pm Sunday loc...

12Z GFS wants to bring things in earlier with the warm front and with the late afternoon and evening convection. I think using models like the NAM and eventually the HRRR is the way to go versus a global model like the GFS. But anyway, we'll see how things trend as we get closer.

12Z NAM is still suggesting that the main show is in that 11pm to 1am range for us overnight Sun night.

BG's video - Already in progress...

Thanks Bgoney for posting that. I saw it posted on Facebook earlier this morning but I didn't get time to share it on our forum so again, thanks! From what I have read, the CSU Learning model, (pictured above) has been on a roll! It's verification scores have been excellent for the most part. So lik...

Wonder what the percentile chance (SPC) for tornadoes e.g. will be come Sun ...? That, at least for myself, is the biggest concern. I saw a few days ago an article via Accuweather or Weather Underground where Ohio e.g. leads the country in tornadoes this year. :o That will start with tomorrow's Out...

I just checked the 6Z NAM and it's pretty slow with the whole thing for Sunday. Looks like a line of convection with the warm front passes thru IND around 5-6pm then the convection with the low / cold front, comes in by late evening. For us locally in Cincinnati, this could be primarily an overnigh...

I just checked the 6Z NAM and it's pretty slow with the whole thing for Sunday. Looks like a line of convection with the warm front passes thru IND around 5-6pm then the convection with the low / cold front, comes in by late evening. For us locally in Cincinnati, this could be primarily an overnight...

Once we get into the hires model range probably by tomorrow, we should be able to see when the warm front is supposed to pass thru IND then how much of a dry window does that area see before the late afternoon / evening convection ahead of the surface low moves in.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 6:13 am Much of Ohio/Indiana will be welcoming that rain by Sunday as by then it will have been a week since appreciable rain has fallen for a good chunk of that region

Very true, but it will also come at a price.... well potentially anyway.

Dense fog advisory has been issued for all NKY counties until 10am. I did not see any on the drive into work from NKY. ..DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Indiana and northeast and n...

Good morning all! Only expecting scattered coverage until we get to Sunday. All eyes are on Sunday now and the SPC has the enhanced risk further North and East to include our NKY counties. For us, I think we'll need to see what happens in the morning esp with the warm front then sometime in the even...

Only 7 days left to enter folks! Please get those guesses in!

We're on another bad losing skid... Bluejays crushed us 9-1. Matt Manning will try it at 6:40pm this evening.

I think models from yesterday did a good job with this evenings organized storms staying to our south , with just an isolated shower in our southern counties Agreed. I backed off in a few of my posts from earlier and went with scattered activity for today, tomorrow, and Sat. I think that is going t...

75 currently... Watching radar as it is trying to get a little more busy over SW IN. Les, I've noticed this bow on radar that's west of Bowling Green KY moving NE but may just affect northern KY in a few hours unless we can get some further development in southern IN? We just didn't get quite enoug...

75 currently... Watching radar as it is trying to get a little more busy over SW IN.