Search found 1703 matches
- Sun May 26, 2024 3:44 pm
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Latest update.
- Sun May 26, 2024 3:08 pm
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Threat for round 2 increasing IMO. Updating map now.
- Sun May 26, 2024 8:31 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
My latest thoughts and outlooks.
- Mon May 20, 2024 5:41 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
It’ll all come down to placement and timing of features, but I see multiple severe risks and heavy flash flooding rains possible over the next 7+ days across the region. Stormy indeed, Les!
- Wed May 15, 2024 5:02 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Last part of May and into June has major severe potential for the Central US. We will likely get in on some of the action as well. Been noticing this on the models for a while now. Could be a wicked period coming up especially west of our region.
- Tue May 14, 2024 6:17 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Trev.... the boys are seeing it now too. Check it out! .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Low pressure over Missouri and Arkansas is getting more organized as it moves slowly toward Kentucky. Moisture and vertical motion are increasing sporadically across our portion of the Ohio Valley, produc...
- Tue May 14, 2024 5:52 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Good morning folks! A few scattered showers are around this morning but the best action will be this afternoon and evening as we've discussed. We will see more action overnight as well as on Wed. Some folks could pick up 1-2" of rain during this time frame. Others may only see a half inch. A f...
- Tue May 14, 2024 4:45 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Good morning folks! A few scattered showers are around this morning but the best action will be this afternoon and evening as we've discussed. We will see more action overnight as well as on Wed. Some folks could pick up 1-2" of rain during this time frame. Others may only see a half inch. A f...
- Mon May 13, 2024 10:36 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
I checked the sounding from the 12Z HRRR and for CVG, it does show a marginally severe set up after 4pm Tuesday. The 12Z NAM is a bit slower showing basically the same thing after 6pm Tuesday. It is border line though as I've stated before. I don't think Trev is wrong at all for issuing a marginal ...
- Mon May 13, 2024 7:09 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Euro has a nice band of thunderstorms tomorrow evening. As ILN stated and I agree, lower CAPE values will keep the ceiling fairly low for this one. 500-1000j/kg likely...somewhere in there. This favors isolated, pulse strong/marginally severe storms versus longer-lasting intense thunderstorms. EDIT:...
- Mon May 13, 2024 7:00 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Here's the NAM which may represent the localized nature even better.
- Mon May 13, 2024 7:00 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
I definitely agree with ILN re: heavy downpours. Here's the HRRR to help illustrate that. Some areas will likely score...possibly big...tomorrow in the rainfall department.
- Mon May 13, 2024 6:36 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
I issued a 1/5 risk of severe for my coverage area tomorrow. SPC has nothing but I see enough evidence to support it. Details found on my page. Good morning Trev! I did not get a chance to see the latest Euro. Is it still the aggressive model? I'm still on the edge with this personally. I just thin...
- Mon May 13, 2024 6:24 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
I issued a 1/5 risk of severe for my coverage area tomorrow. SPC has nothing but I see enough evidence to support it. Details found on my page.
- Sun May 12, 2024 8:51 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Thinking a 1/5 risk for severe is looking like a good bet for Tue. Planning to add one into my afternoon forecast update today.
Euro is most aggressive.
Euro is most aggressive.
- Tue May 07, 2024 7:52 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
Re: May 2024 Weather Discussion
Yeah tomorrow is questionable for sure. It’ll be close. Best threat is south but we still stand a risk for isolated to scattered severe up this way.
- Tue May 07, 2024 6:48 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
- Tue May 07, 2024 6:47 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: May 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 674
- Views: 13285
- Wed Apr 24, 2024 12:52 pm
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
Severe wx risk(s) next week seem to be losing steam in our part of the world due to the above mentioned reasons. Every system weakens as it heads our way next week.
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 1:47 pm
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
Looks like SPC read my post! Their new outlook matches mine to a T. Lol
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 9:05 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
High res guidance sends us back into the middle and upper 80s today. Clouds and some areas of storms will probably inhibit this from happening. Should do lower 80s though. It wouldn't shock me. The rain chances aren't very high today. I think we see isolated activity until the boundary comes back n...
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 7:49 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
High res guidance sends us back into the middle and upper 80s today. Clouds and some areas of storms will probably inhibit this from happening. Should do lower 80s though. It wouldn't shock me. The rain chances aren't very high today. I think we see isolated activity until the boundary comes back n...
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 7:09 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
My latest post.
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 6:33 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
High res guidance sends us back into the middle and upper 80s today. Clouds and some areas of storms will probably inhibit this from happening. Should do lower 80s though.
- Tue Apr 16, 2024 1:26 am
- Forum: Ohio Valley Weather Discussion
- Topic: April 2024 Weather Discussion
- Replies: 801
- Views: 36130
Re: April 2024 Weather Discussion
Still not very enthusiastic about Wednesday’s severe potential. Another messy setup with morning clouds and rain/storms. The low weakening doesn’t help either. Add in poor frontal timing and I just don’t see things getting too crazy here locally. Marginal risk based on coverage may do it.